Alex de Minaur v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (12 en el análisis )

56%

44%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Predicción 55.51%1.80momio equitativo

EV -2.85%

Ventaja -1.63%

Kelly -3.80%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

54.38%55.69%55.42%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.631.691.691.7561.35%59.16%59.17%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Predicción 44.49%2.25momio equitativo

EV -2.13%

Ventaja -0.967%

Kelly -1.77%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

43.15%44.31%44.58%45.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.052.152.152.2048.78%46.49%46.51%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Pinnacle	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-27 05:55
BetOnline.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.61%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-27 05:50
LowVig.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.61%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-27 05:49
888sport	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 05:45
Mr Green (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 05:45
888sport (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 05:45
DraftKings	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-27 05:50
Neds	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-27 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-27 05:55
Bet Right	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 06:50
BetMGM	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-27 05:55
PlayUp	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-27 07:09
Betway	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-27 05:55
TAB	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-27 05:55
Bovada	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-27 05:50
FanDuel	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.02%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-27 06:00
BetAnything	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-27 05:50
Fanatics	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-27 06:00
Betr (AU)	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-27 06:20
BetUS	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-27 05:50
theScore Bet	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-27 05:54
Bally Bet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
ATG (SE)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
betPARX	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
Casumo	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
Grosvenor	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:31
Hard Rock Bet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
LeoVegas (SE)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
TABtouch	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
Unibet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
Unibet (NL)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
Unibet (SE)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
Svenska Spel	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
PointsBet (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 05:50
BetRivers	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 03:30
SportsBet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-27 06:00
BoyleSports	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-27 05:54
PMU (FR)	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.96%E -5.46%K -14.00%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-27 03:30
ReBet	1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.51%E -5.84%K -15.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-07-27 05:55

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%	0.8%	2026-07-27 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%	0.8%	2026-07-27 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%	0.8%	2026-07-27 07:20
ProphetX	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%	1.8%	2026-07-27 07:16
Novig	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%	2.9%	2026-07-27 07:41