L’École des cotes

Alex de Minaur v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Prévision 55.51%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -3.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%55.69%55.42%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.691.691.7561.35%59.16%59.17%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.49%2.25cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.967%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.31%44.58%45.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.152.152.2048.78%46.49%46.51%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 05:55
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 05:50
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.41%E -1.96%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 05:49
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 05:45
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 05:45
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 05:45
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 05:50
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 05:55
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 05:55
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 07:09
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 05:55
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 05:55
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 05:50
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.02%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 06:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 05:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:00
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 06:20
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 05:50
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 05:54
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:31
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 05:50
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:30
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 05:54
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.96%E -5.46%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 03:30
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.51%E -5.84%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 05:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-07-27 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-07-27 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-07-27 07:20
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%1.8%2026-07-27 07:16
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-07-27 07:41