Langue:Français
Alex de Minaur v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Prévision 93.99%1.06cote équitable
EV +66.35%
Avantage +37.49%
Kelly +86.17%
Croissance +57.18%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%89.91%94.64%99.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.211.021.77100.00%82.56%98.04%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.01%16.63cote équitable
EV +657.87%
Avantage +5.22%
Kelly +5.26%
Croissance +34.62%
avec la cote maximale 126.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
0.79%10.09%5.36%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.0018.1411.50126.0050.00%5.51%8.70%0.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alex de Minaur (Local) : 93.99% ; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur) : 6.01%. Pour Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 16.63. 22 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 126.00, soit une espérance positive de +657.87%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +66.35%E +37.49%K +86.17%G +57.18% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +66.35%E +37.49%K +86.17%G +57.18% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -87.97%E -43.99%K -87.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 17:21 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +63.53%E +36.51%K +85.86%G +54.55% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 17:23 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 17:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +61.65%E +35.85%K +85.63%G +52.80% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +61.65%E +35.85%K +85.63%G +52.80% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +60.71%E +35.51%K +85.51%G +51.92% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -86.83%E -39.65%K -72.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 15:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -87.55%E -42.29%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 17:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +57.90%E +34.46%K +85.14%G +49.29% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV +57.90%E +34.46%K +85.14%G +49.29% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +54.14%E +33.01%K +84.59%G +45.79% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -86.77%E -39.44%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 04:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.85%EV +2.44%E +2.24%K +27.15%G +0.664% | 10.82I 9.24%NM 9.15%EV -34.92%E -3.23%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -21.81%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 19:22 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -45.87%E -5.10%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -63.91%E -10.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-29 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -24.81%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 19:22 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 19:17 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.78%E -0.652%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -15.79%E -1.13%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 19:22 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -21.81%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -33.84%E -3.08%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 19:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -33.84%E -3.08%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV -43.16%E -4.57%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 19:13 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 19:23 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +56.38%E +2.17%K +2.26%G +1.27% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 19:22 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +20.30%E +1.01%K +1.07%G +0.217% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 19:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -3.76%E -0.235%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -18.80%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -24.81%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:17 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -30.83%E -2.68%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-29 19:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.21%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 126.00I 0.79%NM 0.79%EV +657.87%E +5.22%K +5.26%G +34.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 19:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +507.50%E +5.02%K +5.07%G +25.76% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 19:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +302.99%E +4.52%K +4.59%G +13.91% | 1.5% | 2026-07-29 19:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +236.83%E +4.23%K +4.31%G +10.20% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 19:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +146.61%E +3.58%K +3.67%G +5.37% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 19:22 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +80.44%E +2.68%K +2.77%G +2.23% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +80.44%E +2.68%K +2.77%G +2.23% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 19:22 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +74.43%E +2.57%K +2.66%G +1.98% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 19:22 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +56.38%E +2.17%K +2.26%G +1.27% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 19:23 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 19:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14% | 34.01I 2.94%NM 2.86% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 19:22 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88% | 3.0% | 2026-07-29 19:21 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.90% | 31.25I 3.20%NM 3.10% | 3.2% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |