StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex de Minaur v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Matchstart: 2026-07-29 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Alex de Minaur 2–1 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex de Minaur (Hemma)

Prognos 93.99%1.06rättvist odds
EV +66.35%
Fördel +37.49%
Kelly +86.17%
Tillväxt +57.18%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.05%89.91%94.64%99.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.211.021.77100.00%82.56%98.04%56.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Borta)

Prognos 6.01%16.63rättvist odds
EV +657.87%
Fördel +5.22%
Kelly +5.26%
Tillväxt +34.62%

med antagandet om högsta odds 126.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
0.79%10.09%5.36%46.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.0018.1411.50126.0050.00%5.51%8.70%0.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alex de Minaur (Hemma): 93.99%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Borta): 6.01%. För Stefanos Tsitsipas (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 16.63. 22 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 126.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +657.87%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +66.35%E +37.49%K +86.17%G +57.18%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 17:10
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +66.35%E +37.49%K +86.17%G +57.18%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -87.97%E -43.99%K -87.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 17:21
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +63.53%E +36.51%K +85.86%G +54.55%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 17:23
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 17:23
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +62.59%E +36.18%K +85.75%G +53.67%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +61.65%E +35.85%K +85.63%G +52.80%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +61.65%E +35.85%K +85.63%G +52.80%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 15:40
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +60.71%E +35.51%K +85.51%G +51.92%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -86.83%E -39.65%K -72.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 17:10
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -86.95%E -40.07%K -74.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 15:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -87.37%E -41.60%K -79.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV +59.77%E +35.16%K +85.39%G +51.04%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -87.55%E -42.29%K -81.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +57.90%E +34.46%K +85.14%G +49.29%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -87.07%E -40.50%K -75.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV +57.90%E +34.46%K +85.14%G +49.29%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -87.67%E -42.77%K -83.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +54.14%E +33.01%K +84.59%G +45.79%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -86.77%E -39.44%K -72.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 04:05
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 90.85%EV +2.44%E +2.24%K +27.15%G +0.664%10.82I 9.24%NM 9.15%EV -34.92%E -3.23%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.0%2026-07-29 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -21.81%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 19:21
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 19:22
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 19:21
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -45.87%E -5.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 19:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -1.32%E -1.25%K -26.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -63.91%E -10.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-29 19:10
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -24.81%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 19:21
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.20%E -3.10%K -106.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 19:21
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%2.8%2026-07-29 19:21
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040%3.6%2026-07-29 19:22
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040%3.6%2026-07-29 19:17
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.78%E -0.652%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -15.79%E -1.13%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 19:22
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -21.81%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 19:20
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -33.84%E -3.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -33.84%E -3.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 19:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 19:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 19:21
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -4.14%E -4.05%K -206.75%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV -43.16%E -4.57%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 19:13
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +104.50%E +3.07%K +3.17%G +3.31%2.0%2026-07-29 19:23
Casumo🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +56.38%E +2.17%K +2.26%G +1.27%2.9%2026-07-29 19:22
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +20.30%E +1.01%K +1.07%G +0.217%4.0%2026-07-29 19:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.27%E +0.459%K +0.486%G +0.040%4.6%2026-07-29 19:21
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -3.76%E -0.235%K -0.251%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:21
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -18.80%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 19:20
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -24.81%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 19:17
TABtouch🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -30.83%E -2.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -5.07%E -5.02%K -507.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -42.86%E -4.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-29 19:13
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.21%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%126.00I 0.79%NM 0.79%EV +657.87%E +5.22%K +5.26%G +34.62%0.8%2026-07-29 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +507.50%E +5.02%K +5.07%G +25.76%1.0%2026-07-29 19:23
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +302.99%E +4.52%K +4.59%G +13.91%1.5%2026-07-29 19:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +236.83%E +4.23%K +4.31%G +10.20%1.8%2026-07-29 19:24
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +146.61%E +3.58%K +3.67%G +5.37%2.4%2026-07-29 19:22
Winamax (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +80.44%E +2.68%K +2.77%G +2.23%3.3%2026-07-29 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +80.44%E +2.68%K +2.77%G +2.23%3.3%2026-07-29 19:22
Bovada🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +74.43%E +2.57%K +2.66%G +1.98%3.4%2026-07-29 19:22
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +56.38%E +2.17%K +2.26%G +1.27%3.8%2026-07-29 19:20
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%4.8%2026-07-29 19:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%4.8%2026-07-29 19:21
Caesars🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.01%E -6.01%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.31%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.346%4.8%2026-07-29 19:23
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-07-29 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-07-29 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-07-29 19:24
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%2.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%34.01I 2.94%NM 2.86%2.9%2026-07-29 19:22
Matchbook1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%3.0%2026-07-29 19:21
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.90%31.25I 3.20%NM 3.10%3.2%2026-07-29 19:20