Language:English
Adrian Mannarino v Learner Tien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Adrian Mannarino (Local)
Prediction 19.15%5.22fair odd
EV +0.547%
Edge +0.104%
Kelly +0.129%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.48%19.34%19.09%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.774.805.2523.09%20.96%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Learner Tien (Visit)
Prediction 80.85%1.24fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -14.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.57%80.66%80.91%81.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.181.2086.96%84.66%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adrian Mannarino (Local): 19.15%; Learner Tien (Visit): 80.85%. For Adrian Mannarino (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.547%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.547%E +0.104%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -0.411%E -0.079%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.33%E -0.456%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 16:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%EV -3.67%E -0.729%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.22%E -5.36%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -5.96%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 16:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.22%E -5.36%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.03%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.03%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.99%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 15:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 13:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -17.07%E -3.94%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -17.07%E -3.94%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 15:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.21% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.79% | 1.5% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.45I 18.35%NM 18.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 2.6% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
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