The School of Odds

Adrian Mannarino v Learner Tien

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Adrian Mannarino (Local)

Prediction 25.14%3.98fair odd
EV +0.806%
Edge +0.201%
Kelly +0.268%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%25.36%25.02%28.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.713.774.0130.30%26.99%26.49%24.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Learner Tien (Visit)

Prediction 74.86%1.34fair odd
EV -0.434%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.27%74.64%74.98%76.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.241.271.271.3380.65%78.60%78.74%75.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.806%E +0.201%K +0.268%G +0.002%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 02:50
Pinnacle4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +0.554%E +0.139%K +0.185%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-27 01:40
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.96%E -0.502%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 03:10
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.96%E -0.502%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:25
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.22%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:10
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.22%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:10
Bally Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:10
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 02:35
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 03:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 02:25
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:55
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 03:10
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 02:59
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 03:20
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 03:05
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 03:10
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 03:10
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 05:20
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 02:55
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 03:10
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.68%E -2.06%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 03:05
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 03:20
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 03:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-07-27 03:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-07-27 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-07-27 04:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-07-27 04:10
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%2.5%2026-07-27 06:50