Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Adrian Mannarino v Learner Tien

Início: 2026-07-28 16:30 UTC

Final: Adrian Mannarino 2–0 Learner Tien

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Adrian Mannarino (Local)

Previsão 19.15%5.22odd justa
EV +0.547%
Vantagem +0.104%
Kelly +0.129%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.48%19.34%19.09%21.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.774.805.2523.09%20.96%20.83%19.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Learner Tien (Visitante)

Previsão 80.85%1.24odd justa
EV -2.98%
Vantagem -2.49%
Kelly -14.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.57%80.66%80.91%81.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.181.181.2086.96%84.66%84.75%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Adrian Mannarino (Local): 19.15%; Learner Tien (Visitante): 80.85%. Para Adrian Mannarino (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.22. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.547%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.547%E +0.104%K +0.129%G +0.001%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-28 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -0.411%E -0.079%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.33%E -0.456%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 16:28
DraftKings🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%EV -3.67%E -0.729%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 16:29
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 16:09
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:24
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 16:24
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 16:24
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 15:45
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 15:34
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 15:34
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 15:44
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 15:44
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.22%E -5.36%K -38.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 15:35
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 15:34
1xBet🎯4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -5.96%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 16:19
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 15:44
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 16:14
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 16:08
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 16:24
BetAnything🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 16:29
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 15:34
Fliff🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.22%E -5.36%K -38.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 16:24
BetUS🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.03%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.03%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 16:09
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.99%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 15:19
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:15
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:14
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 15:35
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 14:15
Dabble (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 14:14
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-28 13:19
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-28 13:20
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 14:14
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 15:50
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -17.07%E -3.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 15:34
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -17.07%E -3.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 15:33
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-07-28 16:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-07-28 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-07-28 16:15
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-07-28 16:15
Novig5.13I 19.49%NM 19.21%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.79%1.5%2026-07-28 16:25
ProphetX5.45I 18.35%NM 18.05%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95%1.7%2026-07-28 16:15
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%2.6%2026-07-28 16:25