La scuola delle quote

Adrian Mannarino v Learner Tien

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

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40 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Adrian Mannarino (Casa)

Previsione 25.14%3.98quota equa
EV +0.806%
Vantaggio +0.201%
Kelly +0.268%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.76%25.36%25.02%28.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.703.774.0130.30%27.01%26.49%24.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Learner Tien (Trasferta)

Previsione 74.86%1.34quota equa
EV -0.434%
Vantaggio -0.327%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.27%74.64%74.98%76.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.271.271.3380.65%78.57%78.74%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.806%E +0.201%K +0.268%G +0.002%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 02:50
Pinnacle4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +0.554%E +0.139%K +0.185%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-27 01:40
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.96%E -0.502%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 03:10
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.96%E -0.502%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:25
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.22%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:10
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.22%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:10
Bally Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:10
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 02:35
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 03:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 02:25
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:55
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 03:10
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 02:59
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 03:20
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 03:05
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 03:10
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 03:10
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 02:55
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 07:50
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 03:10
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.68%E -2.06%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 03:05
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 03:20
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 03:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-07-27 03:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-07-27 07:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-07-27 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-07-27 07:35
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%1.9%2026-07-27 07:35