Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Adrian Mannarino (Casa): 19.15%; Learner Tien (Trasferta): 80.85%. Per Adrian Mannarino (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.22. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 5.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.547%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.547%E +0.104%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -0.411%E -0.079%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.33%E -0.456%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 16:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%EV -3.67%E -0.729%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.22%E -5.36%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -5.96%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 16:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.22%E -5.36%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.03%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.03%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.99%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 15:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 13:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -17.07%E -3.94%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -17.07%E -3.94%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 15:33 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.21% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.79% | 1.5% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.45I 18.35%NM 18.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 2.6% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |