Langue:Français
Adrian Mannarino v Learner Tien
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Adrian Mannarino (Local)
Prévision 19.15%5.22cote équitable
EV +0.547%
Avantage +0.104%
Kelly +0.129%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.48%19.34%19.09%21.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.774.805.2523.09%20.96%20.83%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Learner Tien (Visiteur)
Prévision 80.85%1.24cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -2.49%
Kelly -14.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.57%80.66%80.91%81.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.181.181.2086.96%84.66%84.75%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Adrian Mannarino (Local) : 19.15% ; Learner Tien (Visiteur) : 80.85%. Pour Adrian Mannarino (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.22. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.547%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.547%E +0.104%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -0.411%E -0.079%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.33%E -0.456%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 16:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%EV -3.67%E -0.729%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.22%E -5.36%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.24%E -0.848%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -5.96%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 16:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.22%E -5.36%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.03%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.03%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.99%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 15:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.79%E -3.19%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 13:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.41%E -4.62%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.98%E -2.49%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.73%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -17.07%E -3.94%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -17.07%E -3.94%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 15:33 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.21% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.79% | 1.5% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.45I 18.35%NM 18.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 2.6% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |