L’École des cotes

Adrian Mannarino v Learner Tien

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Adrian Mannarino (Local)

Prévision 25.14%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.806%
Avantage +0.201%
Kelly +0.268%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.76%25.36%25.02%28.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.774.0130.30%27.01%26.49%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Learner Tien (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.86%1.34cote équitable
EV -0.434%
Avantage -0.327%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.27%74.64%74.98%76.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.271.271.3380.65%78.57%78.74%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.806%E +0.201%K +0.268%G +0.002%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 02:50
Pinnacle4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +0.554%E +0.139%K +0.185%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-27 01:40
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.96%E -0.502%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 03:10
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.96%E -0.502%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:25
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.22%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:10
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.22%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:10
Bally Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:55
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:10
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 02:35
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 03:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 02:25
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:55
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 03:10
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 02:59
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 03:20
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 03:05
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 03:10
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 03:10
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 02:55
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 07:50
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 03:10
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.68%E -2.06%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 03:05
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 03:20
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 03:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-07-27 03:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-07-27 07:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-07-27 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-07-27 07:35
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%1.9%2026-07-27 07:35