Adrian Mannarino v Learner Tien

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (12 en el análisis )

25%

75%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Adrian Mannarino (Local)

Predicción 25.14%3.98momio equitativo

EV +0.806%

Ventaja +0.201%

Kelly +0.268%

Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

23.76%25.36%25.02%28.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

3.303.703.774.0130.30%27.01%26.49%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Learner Tien (Visitante)

Predicción 74.86%1.34momio equitativo

EV -0.434%

Ventaja -0.327%

Kelly -1.32%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

71.27%74.64%74.98%76.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.241.271.271.3380.65%78.57%78.74%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
DraftKings	4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.806%E +0.201%K +0.268%G +0.002%	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-27 02:50
Pinnacle	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +0.554%E +0.139%K +0.185%G +0.001%	1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-07-27 01:40
Bovada	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.96%E -0.502%K -0.676%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-27 03:10
FanDuel	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.96%E -0.502%K -0.676%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.83%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-27 02:25
BetOnline.ag	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.22%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-27 03:10
LowVig.ag	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.22%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-27 03:10
Bally Bet	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
ATG (SE)	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
betPARX	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
Casumo	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
Grosvenor	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
TABtouch	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet (NL)	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
Unibet (SE)	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
Svenska Spel	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 02:55
BetRivers	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 03:10
SportsBet	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-27 02:35
BetMGM	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-27 03:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-27 02:25
BetAnything	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 03:10
Hard Rock Bet	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:55
Fanatics	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 03:10
Betway	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-27 03:10
Bet Right	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 02:59
Betr (AU)	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-27 06:20
BetUS	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-27 03:20
PMU (FR)	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-27 03:05
PointsBet (AU)	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.93%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-27 03:10
theScore Bet	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.83%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-27 03:10
Neds	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-27 02:55
TAB	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-27 07:50
BoyleSports	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-27 03:10
PlayUp	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.68%E -2.06%K -8.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-27 03:05
ReBet	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.27%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.88%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-07-27 03:20
888sport	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.04%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.434%E -0.327%K -1.32%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-27 03:25

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Novig	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%	1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%	1.1%	2026-07-27 03:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%	1.3%	2026-07-27 07:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%	1.3%	2026-07-27 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%	1.3%	2026-07-27 07:35
ProphetX	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%	1.9%	2026-07-27 07:35