Language:English
Zizou Bergs v Jesper De Jong
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prediction 68.65%1.46fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -6.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%68.67%68.65%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.40%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jesper De Jong (Visit)
Prediction 31.35%3.19fair odd
EV +6.59%
Edge +1.94%
Kelly +2.75%
Growth +0.181%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%31.33%31.35%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.003.4035.71%33.11%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 68.65%; Jesper De Jong (Visit): 31.35%. For Jesper De Jong (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +6.59%E +1.94%K +2.75%G +0.181% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 03:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 21:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 21:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.56%E -0.496%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -2.50%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -2.50%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 22:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -5.63%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 21:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 07:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 21:28 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.32%E -5.43%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.32%E -5.43%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.51%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -6.57%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -6.89%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -7.20%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -7.20%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 09:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 09:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 09:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 09:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 08:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.52%E -1.77%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |