Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zizou Bergs v Jesper De Jong

2026-09-03 20:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prediction 69.35%1.44fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.74%69.44%69.59%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.371.361.4276.34%73.25%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jesper De Jong (Visit)

Prediction 30.65%3.26fair odd
EV +4.21%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.56%30.41%33.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.093.103.4035.09%32.41%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Zizou Bergs (Local): 69.35%; Jesper De Jong (Visit): 30.65%. For Jesper De Jong (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.40, producing a positive expected value of +4.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.21%E +1.24%K +1.76%G +0.074%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +2.37%E +0.711%K +1.01%G +0.024%5.1%2026-09-03 05:25
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.15%E +0.348%K +0.499%G +0.006%4.4%2026-09-03 05:25
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.15%E +0.348%K +0.499%G +0.006%5.5%2026-09-03 02:45
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.15%E -6.99%K -29.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.15%E +0.348%K +0.499%G +0.006%6.6%2026-09-03 04:30
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.384%E -0.118%K -0.171%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 02:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.46%E -6.41%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.92%E -0.599%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 07:25
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -4.30%E -3.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -2.84%E -0.895%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 07:35
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:10
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.99%E -3.64%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -3.76%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.99%E -3.64%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -3.76%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:29
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -4.30%E -3.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -4.06%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 07:30
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.37%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:35
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.30%E -3.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 07:27
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:35
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 02:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:30
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 05:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 02:10
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -5.29%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 07:21
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -5.29%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 07:21
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.52%E -1.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.51%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 07:30
Fliff🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.51%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 07:25
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -6.82%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 07:25
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.99%E -3.64%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:23
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 06:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.60%E -2.59%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:29
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 07:25
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:20
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:20
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:21
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.03%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:25
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.91%E -2.08%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.03%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:25
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.52%E -1.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.64%E -4.44%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.52%E -1.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.64%E -4.44%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -8.46%E -6.41%K -26.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.64%E -4.44%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-09-03 07:30
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%3.2%2026-09-03 07:25
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-09-03 07:30
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%6.7%2026-09-03 07:30
Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.17%Coolbet 1.42 (70.5%) / BoyleSports 3.40 (29.5%)Show all 4 combinations
Zizou Bergs (Local)Jesper De Jong (Visit)Margin
Coolbet🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%