Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Zizou Bergs v Jesper De Jong

Inizio: 2026-09-03 22:19 UTC

Finale: Zizou Bergs 3–1 Jesper De Jong

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Zizou Bergs (Casa)

Previsione 68.65%1.46quota equa
EV -2.52%
Vantaggio -1.77%
Kelly -6.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.35%68.67%68.65%71.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.40%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jesper De Jong (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.35%3.19quota equa
EV +6.59%
Vantaggio +1.94%
Kelly +2.75%
Crescita +0.181%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.12%31.33%31.35%33.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.023.003.4035.71%33.11%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Zizou Bergs (Casa): 68.65%; Jesper De Jong (Trasferta): 31.35%. Per Jesper De Jong (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.19. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.40, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.59%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +6.59%E +1.94%K +2.75%G +0.181%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 21:30
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 21:29
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 20:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 21:29
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.56%E -0.496%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -2.50%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -2.50%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 22:04
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 20:55
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 21:30
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 21:35
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 21:30
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -5.63%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 21:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:45
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 21:28
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.32%E -5.43%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 21:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.32%E -5.43%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 21:30
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.51%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -6.57%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -6.89%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:30
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -7.20%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -7.20%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:15
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:40
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 08:08
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 09:05
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.52%E -1.77%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-03 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-03 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-03 22:05
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-09-03 21:55
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-03 22:10
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-03 21:55
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-03 21:55
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-09-03 22:05