Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zizou Bergs v Jesper De Jong

2026-09-03 20:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Previsão 69.22%1.44odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -4.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.74%69.29%69.33%71.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.311.371.381.4276.34%72.86%72.46%70.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jesper De Jong (Visitante)

Previsão 30.78%3.25odd justa
EV +4.66%
Vantagem +1.37%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescimento +0.090%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%30.71%30.67%33.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.053.053.4035.09%32.75%32.79%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Zizou Bergs (Local): 69.22%; Jesper De Jong (Visitante): 30.78%. Para Jesper De Jong (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.25. 6 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.40, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +4.66%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.66%E +1.37%K +1.94%G +0.090%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +2.81%E +0.842%K +1.20%G +0.034%5.1%2026-09-03 05:25
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.58%E +0.479%K +0.687%G +0.011%4.4%2026-09-03 05:25
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.58%E +0.479%K +0.687%G +0.011%5.5%2026-09-03 02:45
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.32%E -7.12%K -30.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.58%E +0.479%K +0.687%G +0.011%6.6%2026-09-03 04:30
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.042%E +0.013%K +0.019%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 02:50
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.17%E -3.77%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.17%E -3.77%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:29
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -3.65%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 07:30
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -3.96%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:35
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.79%E -2.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 08:00
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 07:27
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 07:54
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:30
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 05:25
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -4.88%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 07:21
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -4.88%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 07:21
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV -5.50%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 07:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -5.17%E -3.77%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -5.81%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 07:54
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 07:30
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:54
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:54
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 07:25
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:25
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 08:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.17%E -3.77%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:23
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 08:00
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 07:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.79%E -2.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -9.19%E -3.12%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.19%E -3.12%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 07:56
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:20
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:20
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:21
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:25
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:25
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:25
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.27%E -4.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.27%E -4.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -8.63%E -6.54%K -26.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.27%E -4.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-09-03 07:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%2.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-09-03 07:40
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%6.7%2026-09-03 07:30
Arbitragem (4 combinações) +0.17%Coolbet 1.42 (70.5%) / BoyleSports 3.40 (29.5%)Mostrar as 4 combinações
Zizou Bergs (Local)Jesper De Jong (Visitante)Margem
Pinnacle🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
Coolbet🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%