StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Zizou Bergs v Jesper De Jong

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-03 22:19 UTC

Endstand: Zizou Bergs 3–1 Jesper De Jong

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Zizou Bergs (Heim)

Prognose 68.65%1.46faire Quote
EV -2.52%
Vorteil -1.77%
Kelly -6.00%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.35%68.67%68.65%71.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.40%72.46%70.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jesper De Jong (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.35%3.19faire Quote
EV +6.59%
Vorteil +1.94%
Kelly +2.75%
Wachstum +0.181%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.12%31.33%31.35%33.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.803.023.003.4035.71%33.11%33.33%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Zizou Bergs (Heim): 68.65%; Jesper De Jong (Auswärts): 31.35%. Für Jesper De Jong (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.19. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.40 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.59%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +6.59%E +1.94%K +2.75%G +0.181%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 21:30
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 21:29
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 20:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 21:29
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.56%E -0.496%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -2.50%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -2.50%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 22:04
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 20:55
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 21:30
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 21:35
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 21:30
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -5.63%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 21:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:45
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 21:28
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.32%E -5.43%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 21:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.32%E -5.43%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 21:30
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.51%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -6.57%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -6.89%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:30
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -7.20%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -7.20%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:15
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:40
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 08:08
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 09:05
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.52%E -1.77%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-03 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-03 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-03 22:05
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-09-03 21:55
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-03 22:10
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-03 21:55
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-03 21:55
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-09-03 22:05