StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Zizou Bergs v Jesper De Jong

2026-09-03 20:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Zizou Bergs (Heim)

Prognose 69.22%1.44faire Quote
EV -1.71%
Vorteil -1.20%
Kelly -4.07%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.74%69.29%69.33%71.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.311.371.381.4276.34%72.86%72.46%70.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jesper De Jong (Auswärts)

Prognose 30.78%3.25faire Quote
EV +4.66%
Vorteil +1.37%
Kelly +1.94%
Wachstum +0.090%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.12%30.71%30.67%33.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.853.053.053.4035.09%32.75%32.79%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Zizou Bergs (Heim): 69.22%; Jesper De Jong (Auswärts): 30.78%. Für Jesper De Jong (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.25. 6 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.40 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +4.66%.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.66%E +1.37%K +1.94%G +0.090%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +2.81%E +0.842%K +1.20%G +0.034%5.1%2026-09-03 05:25
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.58%E +0.479%K +0.687%G +0.011%4.4%2026-09-03 05:25
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.58%E +0.479%K +0.687%G +0.011%5.5%2026-09-03 02:45
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.32%E -7.12%K -30.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.58%E +0.479%K +0.687%G +0.011%6.6%2026-09-03 04:30
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.042%E +0.013%K +0.019%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 02:50
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.17%E -3.77%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.17%E -3.77%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:29
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -3.65%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 07:30
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -3.96%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:35
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.79%E -2.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 08:00
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 07:27
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 07:54
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:30
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 05:25
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -4.88%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 07:21
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -4.88%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 07:21
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV -5.50%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 07:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -5.17%E -3.77%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -5.81%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 07:54
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 07:30
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:54
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:55
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:54
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 07:25
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:25
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 08:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.17%E -3.77%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:23
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 08:00
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.65%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 07:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.79%E -2.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -9.19%E -3.12%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.19%E -3.12%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 07:56
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:20
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:20
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:21
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:25
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:25
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.10%E -2.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 07:25
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.27%E -4.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.27%E -4.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -8.63%E -6.54%K -26.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.27%E -4.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 07:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-09-03 07:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-09-03 07:25
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%2.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-09-03 07:40
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%6.7%2026-09-03 07:30
Arbitrage (4 Kombinationen) +0.17%Coolbet 1.42 (70.5%) / BoyleSports 3.40 (29.5%)Alle 4 Kombinationen anzeigen
Zizou Bergs (Heim)Jesper De Jong (Auswärts)Marge
Pinnacle🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
Coolbet🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%