Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Zizou Bergs v Jesper De Jong

Начало: 2026-09-03 22:19 UTC

Итог: Zizou Bergs 3–1 Jesper De Jong

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

64 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Zizou Bergs (Хозяева)

Прогноз 68.65%1.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.52%
Преимущество -1.77%
Kelly -6.00%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.42

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.35%68.67%68.65%71.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.40%72.46%70.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Jesper De Jong (Гости)

Прогноз 31.35%3.19справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.59%
Преимущество +1.94%
Kelly +2.75%
Рост +0.181%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.12%31.33%31.35%33.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.023.003.4035.71%33.11%33.33%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Zizou Bergs (Хозяева): 68.65%; Jesper De Jong (Гости): 31.35%. Для исхода «Jesper De Jong (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.19. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.59%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -8.70%E -6.54%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +6.59%E +1.94%K +2.75%G +0.181%4.6%2026-09-03 03:45
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 21:30
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 21:29
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 20:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 21:29
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.56%E -0.496%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -2.50%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -2.50%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 22:04
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 20:55
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 21:30
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 21:35
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 21:30
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -3.21%E -2.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -5.63%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 21:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:45
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 21:28
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.32%E -5.43%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 21:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.32%E -5.43%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 21:30
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.51%EV -5.95%E -4.34%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -6.57%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -4.58%E -3.29%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -6.89%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:30
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -7.20%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -7.20%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:15
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:40
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.26%E -3.81%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 08:08
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.64%E -4.88%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 09:05
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.52%E -1.77%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (8)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-03 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-03 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-03 22:05
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-09-03 21:55
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-03 22:10
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-03 21:55
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-03 21:55
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-09-03 22:05