語言:繁體中文
Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Tommy Paul (主隊)
預測 20.70%4.83公平賠率
EV +3.50%
優勢 +0.701%
Kelly +0.876%
成長率 +0.031%
假設最高賠率為 5.00
博彩公司預測分布
18.57%20.74%20.63%22.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.574.605.0023.81%21.87%21.74%20.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Carlos Alcaraz (客隊)
預測 79.30%1.26公平賠率
EV -3.25%
優勢 -2.67%
Kelly -14.80%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.22
博彩公司預測分布
77.49%79.26%79.37%81.43%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.42%83.33%81.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Tommy Paul (主隊)：20.70%；Carlos Alcaraz (客隊)：79.30%。 對於「Tommy Paul (主隊)」，該估計相當於4.83的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為5.00，對應+3.50%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (65 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 ▼ | 客隊 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +3.50%E +0.701%K +0.876%G +0.031% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.60%E -8.42%K -68.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.10%EV +0.399%E +0.082%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.90%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.636%E -0.133%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.31%EV -3.33%E -0.712%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.69%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -3.74%E -0.805%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.81%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -5.81%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -6.02%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.98%EV -6.43%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.02%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.88%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 14:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV -11.81%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.71% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| Novig◎ | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 17:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 2.6% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |