Sprache:Deutsch
Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Tommy Paul (Heim)
Prognose 20.70%4.83faire Quote
EV +3.50%
Vorteil +0.701%
Kelly +0.876%
Wachstum +0.031%
bei einer Höchstquote von 5.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.57%20.74%20.63%22.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.204.574.605.0023.81%21.87%21.74%20.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Auswärts)
Prognose 79.30%1.26faire Quote
EV -3.25%
Vorteil -2.67%
Kelly -14.80%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.22
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
77.49%79.26%79.37%81.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.42%83.33%81.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Tommy Paul (Heim): 20.70%; Carlos Alcaraz (Auswärts): 79.30%. Für Tommy Paul (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.83. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.50%.
Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +3.50%E +0.701%K +0.876%G +0.031% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.60%E -8.42%K -68.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.10%EV +0.399%E +0.082%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.90%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.636%E -0.133%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.31%EV -3.33%E -0.712%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.69%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -3.74%E -0.805%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.81%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -5.81%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -6.02%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.98%EV -6.43%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.02%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.88%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 14:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV -11.81%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.71% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| Novig◎ | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 17:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 2.6% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |