Język:Polski
Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Tommy Paul (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 20.70%4.83kurs godziwy
EV +3.50%
Przewaga +0.701%
Kelly +0.876%
Wzrost +0.031%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.57%20.74%20.63%22.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.204.574.605.0023.81%21.87%21.74%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Carlos Alcaraz (Goście)
Prognoza 79.30%1.26kurs godziwy
EV -3.25%
Przewaga -2.67%
Kelly -14.80%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.22
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
77.49%79.26%79.37%81.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.42%83.33%81.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Tommy Paul (Gospodarze): 20.70%; Carlos Alcaraz (Goście): 79.30%. Dla wyniku Tommy Paul (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.83. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.50%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +3.50%E +0.701%K +0.876%G +0.031% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.60%E -8.42%K -68.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.10%EV +0.399%E +0.082%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.90%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.636%E -0.133%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.31%EV -3.33%E -0.712%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.69%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -3.74%E -0.805%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.63%E -4.73%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.81%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -5.81%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -6.02%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.98%EV -6.43%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.02%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.88%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 14:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.84%E -4.03%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV -11.81%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.25%E -2.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.71% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |
| Novig◎ | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 17:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 2.6% | 2026-09-06 17:51 |