语言:简体中文
Taylor Fritz v Francisco Cerundolo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Taylor Fritz (主队)
预测 83.22%1.20公平赔率
EV -0.133%
优势 -0.111%
Kelly -0.667%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
77.98%83.22%83.09%84.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.141.131.2090.09%87.96%88.50%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Francisco Cerundolo (客队)
预测 16.78%5.96公平赔率
EV +4.86%
优势 +0.778%
Kelly +0.926%
增长率 +0.045%
假设最高赔率为 6.25
博彩公司预测分布
15.54%16.78%16.91%22.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.255.635.606.2523.53%17.76%17.86%16.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Taylor Fritz (主队)：83.22%；Francisco Cerundolo (客队)：16.78%。 对于“Francisco Cerundolo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.96。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.25，对应+4.86%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +4.86%E +0.778%K +0.926%G +0.045% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +2.18%E +0.357%K +0.428%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +2.18%E +0.357%K +0.428%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.94%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV +0.835%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.50%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.50%EV -2.35%E -0.404%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -4.37%E -0.766%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -5.37%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.62%E -6.87%K -69.30%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.91%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.09%EV -6.38%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.03%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.97%EV -7.22%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.03%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.97%EV -7.22%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.60%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.40%EV -8.39%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -11.08%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.79%E -3.63%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -0.133%E -0.111%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -19.47%E -4.06%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -0.133%E -0.111%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -28.69%E -6.75%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 11:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |