Idioma:Español
Taylor Fritz v Francisco Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Predicción 83.22%1.20momio equitativo
EV -0.133%
Ventaja -0.111%
Kelly -0.667%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.98%83.22%83.09%84.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.111.141.131.2090.09%87.96%88.50%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 16.78%5.96momio equitativo
EV +4.86%
Ventaja +0.778%
Kelly +0.926%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.54%16.78%16.91%22.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.255.635.606.2523.53%17.76%17.86%16.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Taylor Fritz (Local): 83.22%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante): 16.78%. Para Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.96. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.86%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +4.86%E +0.778%K +0.926%G +0.045% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +2.18%E +0.357%K +0.428%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +2.18%E +0.357%K +0.428%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.94%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV +0.835%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.50%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.50%EV -2.35%E -0.404%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -4.37%E -0.766%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -5.37%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.62%E -6.87%K -69.30%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.91%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.09%EV -6.38%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.03%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.97%EV -7.22%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.03%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.97%EV -7.22%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.60%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.40%EV -8.39%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -11.08%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.79%E -3.63%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -0.133%E -0.111%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -19.47%E -4.06%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -0.133%E -0.111%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -28.69%E -6.75%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 11:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |