Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Taylor Fritz v Francisco Cerundolo

Inizio: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Finale: Taylor Fritz 2–3 Francisco Cerundolo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Taylor Fritz (Casa)

Previsione 83.22%1.20quota equa
EV -0.133%
Vantaggio -0.111%
Kelly -0.667%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.98%83.22%83.09%84.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.141.131.2090.09%87.96%88.50%83.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.78%5.96quota equa
EV +4.86%
Vantaggio +0.778%
Kelly +0.926%
Crescita +0.045%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.54%16.78%16.91%22.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.255.635.606.2523.53%17.76%17.86%16.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Taylor Fritz (Casa): 83.22%; Francisco Cerundolo (Trasferta): 16.78%. Per Francisco Cerundolo (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.96. 10 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.86%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +4.86%E +0.778%K +0.926%G +0.045%3.0%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +2.18%E +0.357%K +0.428%G +0.009%4.1%2026-09-04 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +2.18%E +0.357%K +0.428%G +0.009%4.1%2026-09-04 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.94%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV +0.835%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001%3.6%2026-09-04 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%3.6%2026-09-04 08:35
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.4%2026-09-04 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%5.2%2026-09-04 08:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-04 08:25
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-04 08:45
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.50%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.50%EV -2.35%E -0.404%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:05
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:05
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:05
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:05
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -4.37%E -0.766%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:49
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -5.37%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:38
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.62%E -6.87%K -69.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 13:04
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.91%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.09%EV -6.38%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 08:25
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.03%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.97%EV -7.22%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 08:25
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.03%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.97%EV -7.22%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 08:19
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 07:04
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 10:15
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:34
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:10
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:28
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:44
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:15
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 11:15
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 13:53
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.60%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.40%EV -8.39%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:15
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 07:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -11.08%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 08:20
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.79%E -3.63%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 08:20
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -0.133%E -0.111%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -19.47%E -4.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 03:30
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -0.133%E -0.111%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -28.69%E -6.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 22:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-09-04 11:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24%1.7%2026-09-04 12:10
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55%2.1%2026-09-04 12:10
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-09-04 04:00
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-09-04 10:35