StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Taylor Fritz v Francisco Cerundolo

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Endstand: Taylor Fritz 2–3 Francisco Cerundolo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Taylor Fritz (Heim)

Prognose 83.22%1.20faire Quote
EV -0.133%
Vorteil -0.111%
Kelly -0.667%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
77.98%83.22%83.09%84.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.111.141.131.2090.09%87.96%88.50%83.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.78%5.96faire Quote
EV +4.86%
Vorteil +0.778%
Kelly +0.926%
Wachstum +0.045%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.54%16.78%16.91%22.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.255.635.606.2523.53%17.76%17.86%16.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Taylor Fritz (Heim): 83.22%; Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts): 16.78%. Für Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.96. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.86%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +4.86%E +0.778%K +0.926%G +0.045%3.0%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +2.18%E +0.357%K +0.428%G +0.009%4.1%2026-09-04 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +2.18%E +0.357%K +0.428%G +0.009%4.1%2026-09-04 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.94%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV +0.835%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001%3.6%2026-09-04 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%3.6%2026-09-04 08:35
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.4%2026-09-04 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%5.2%2026-09-04 08:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-04 08:25
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-04 08:45
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.50%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.50%EV -2.35%E -0.404%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:05
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:04
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:05
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:05
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:05
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -4.37%E -0.766%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:49
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -5.37%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:38
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.62%E -6.87%K -69.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 13:04
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.91%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.09%EV -6.38%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 08:25
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.03%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.97%EV -7.22%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 08:25
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.03%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.97%EV -7.22%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 08:19
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 07:04
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 10:15
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:34
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:10
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:28
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:44
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:15
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 11:15
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 13:53
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.60%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.40%EV -8.39%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:15
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 07:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -11.08%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 08:20
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.79%E -3.63%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 08:20
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -0.133%E -0.111%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -19.47%E -4.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 03:30
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -0.133%E -0.111%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -28.69%E -6.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 22:24
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-09-04 11:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24%1.7%2026-09-04 12:10
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55%2.1%2026-09-04 12:10
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-09-04 04:00
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-09-04 10:35