Langue:Français
Taylor Fritz v Francisco Cerundolo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prévision 83.22%1.20cote équitable
EV -0.133%
Avantage -0.111%
Kelly -0.667%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.98%83.22%83.09%84.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.111.141.131.2090.09%87.96%88.50%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.78%5.96cote équitable
EV +4.86%
Avantage +0.778%
Kelly +0.926%
Croissance +0.045%
avec la cote maximale 6.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.54%16.78%16.91%22.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.255.635.606.2523.53%17.76%17.86%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Taylor Fritz (Local) : 83.22% ; Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur) : 16.78%. Pour Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.96. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.25, soit une espérance positive de +4.86%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +4.86%E +0.778%K +0.926%G +0.045% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +2.18%E +0.357%K +0.428%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +2.18%E +0.357%K +0.428%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.94%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV +0.835%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.667%E +0.111%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.50%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.50%EV -2.35%E -0.404%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.69%E -0.464%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.53%E -0.613%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -4.37%E -0.766%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -5.37%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.62%E -6.87%K -69.30%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.91%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.09%EV -6.38%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.03%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.97%EV -7.22%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.03%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.97%EV -7.22%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.13%E -4.50%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.60%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.40%EV -8.39%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.96%E -5.27%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -11.08%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.79%E -3.63%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -0.133%E -0.111%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -19.47%E -4.06%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -0.133%E -0.111%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -28.69%E -6.75%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 11:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |