Language:English
Nuno Borges v Learner Tien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prediction 35.34%2.83fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.579%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%35.38%35.33%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.702.8039.22%37.35%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Learner Tien (Visit)
Prediction 64.66%1.55fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%64.62%64.67%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.471.5070.42%68.08%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nuno Borges (Local): 35.34%; Learner Tien (Visit): 64.66%. For Nuno Borges (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -2.10%E -0.759%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -5.28%E -1.97%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 19:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |