Lingua:Italiano
Nuno Borges v Learner Tien
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Nuno Borges (Casa)
Previsione 35.34%2.83quota equa
EV -1.04%
Vantaggio -0.372%
Kelly -0.579%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.65%35.38%35.33%37.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.682.702.8039.22%37.35%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Learner Tien (Trasferta)
Previsione 64.66%1.55quota equa
EV -3.01%
Vantaggio -2.01%
Kelly -6.03%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.96%64.62%64.67%66.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.471.471.5070.42%68.08%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Nuno Borges (Casa): 35.34%; Learner Tien (Trasferta): 64.66%. Per Nuno Borges (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.83. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.80, con un valore atteso del -1.04%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -2.10%E -0.759%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -5.28%E -1.97%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 19:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |