Idioma:Español
Nuno Borges v Learner Tien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nuno Borges (Local)
Predicción 35.34%2.83momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.372%
Kelly -0.579%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.65%35.38%35.33%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.682.702.8039.22%37.35%37.04%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Predicción 64.66%1.55momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -6.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.96%64.62%64.67%66.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.471.471.5070.42%68.08%68.03%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nuno Borges (Local): 35.34%; Learner Tien (Visitante): 64.66%. Para Nuno Borges (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.83. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.80, con un valor esperado de -1.04%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -2.10%E -0.759%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -5.28%E -1.97%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 19:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |