Langue:Français
Nuno Borges v Learner Tien
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prévision 35.34%2.83cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.372%
Kelly -0.579%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.65%35.38%35.33%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.682.702.8039.22%37.35%37.04%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Learner Tien (Visiteur)
Prévision 64.66%1.55cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -6.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%64.62%64.67%66.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.471.471.5070.42%68.08%68.03%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nuno Borges (Local) : 35.34% ; Learner Tien (Visiteur) : 64.66%. Pour Nuno Borges (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.83. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.80, pour une espérance de -1.04% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.04%E -0.372%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.19%E -5.76%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -2.10%E -0.759%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.79%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -5.28%E -1.97%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.60%E -3.84%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.66%E -2.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 19:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.05%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.25%E -4.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.31%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |