默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Matteo Berrettini (主队)

预测 64.46%1.55公平赔率
EV -3.31%
优势 -2.21%
Kelly -6.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
63.47%64.48%64.24%66.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.411.461.451.5070.92%68.66%68.97%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Mariano Navone (客队)

预测 35.54%2.81公平赔率
EV -0.487%
优势 -0.174%
Kelly -0.271%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
33.89%35.52%35.76%36.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.652.652.8040.82%37.78%37.74%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Matteo Berrettini (主队):64.46%;Mariano Navone (客队):35.54%。 对于“Mariano Navone (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.81。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.80,期望值为-0.487%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.31%E -2.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 04:25
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.31%E -2.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 01:09
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.31%E -2.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 00:05
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.96%E -2.65%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -0.487%E -0.174%K -0.271%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 04:40
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.60%E -3.11%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -2.97%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 04:40
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.60%E -3.11%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.11%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:25
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -4.60%E -3.11%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -6.53%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.24%E -3.57%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.24%E -3.57%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.89%E -4.03%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 04:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.89%E -4.03%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.53%E -4.51%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.53%E -4.51%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 03:55
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.53%E -4.51%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.53%E -4.51%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.53%E -4.51%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 00:10
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.18%E -4.98%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:15
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.18%E -4.98%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:10
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.18%E -4.98%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 03:55
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.18%E -4.98%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 00:25
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.71%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.29%EV -10.79%E -4.30%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 00:06
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.11%E -6.46%K -22.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -9.11%E -6.46%K -22.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-01 04:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-09-01 03:25
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 64.48%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.52%10.0%2026-09-01 05:10
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 63.54%2.44I 40.98%NM 36.46%12.4%2026-09-01 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46%13.1%2026-09-01 04:50
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46%13.1%2026-09-01 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46%13.1%2026-09-01 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46%13.1%2026-09-01 04:50
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 61.49%2.14I 46.73%NM 38.51%21.4%2026-09-01 05:05