Sprache:Deutsch
Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Matteo Berrettini (Heim)
Prognose 59.04%1.69faire Quote
EV -1.40%
Vorteil -0.837%
Kelly -2.09%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.58%59.18%58.67%62.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.621.631.6766.67%61.79%61.35%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Mariano Navone (Auswärts)
Prognose 40.96%2.44faire Quote
EV +3.21%
Vorteil +1.27%
Kelly +2.11%
Wachstum +0.068%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.52
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.50%40.82%41.33%43.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.302.282.5246.51%43.51%43.86%39.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Matteo Berrettini (Heim): 59.04%; Mariano Navone (Auswärts): 40.96%. Für Mariano Navone (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.44. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.52 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.21%.
Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +3.21%E +1.27%K +2.11%G +0.068% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 19:16 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.44%E -7.62%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.39%E +0.957%K +1.59%G +0.038% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 13:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.345%E +0.141%K +0.238%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.29%E -0.537%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.710%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.710%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.03%E -3.10%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.26%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.26%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.67%E -3.89%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.94%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.94%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |