Lingua:Italiano
Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Berrettini (Casa)
Previsione 59.04%1.69quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.837%
Kelly -2.09%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.58%59.18%58.67%62.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.621.631.6766.67%61.79%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Mariano Navone (Trasferta)
Previsione 40.96%2.44quota equa
EV +3.21%
Vantaggio +1.27%
Kelly +2.11%
Crescita +0.068%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.50%40.82%41.33%43.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.302.282.5246.51%43.51%43.86%39.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Matteo Berrettini (Casa): 59.04%; Mariano Navone (Trasferta): 40.96%. Per Mariano Navone (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.44. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.52, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.21%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +3.21%E +1.27%K +2.11%G +0.068% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 19:16 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.44%E -7.62%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.39%E +0.957%K +1.59%G +0.038% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 13:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.345%E +0.141%K +0.238%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.29%E -0.537%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.710%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.710%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.03%E -3.10%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.26%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.26%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.67%E -3.89%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.94%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.94%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |