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Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
Resultado del partido
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Predicción 64.46%1.55momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -6.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.47%64.48%64.24%66.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.461.451.5070.92%68.66%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Predicción 35.54%2.81momio equitativo
EV -0.487%
Ventaja -0.174%
Kelly -0.271%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.89%35.52%35.76%36.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.652.652.8040.82%37.78%37.74%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Matteo Berrettini (Local): 64.46%; Mariano Navone (Visitante): 35.54%. Para Mariano Navone (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.81. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.80, con un valor esperado de -0.487%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (25 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.31%E -2.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 04:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.31%E -2.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 01:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.31%E -2.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.96%E -2.65%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -0.487%E -0.174%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 04:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.60%E -3.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -2.97%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 04:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.60%E -3.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.11%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -4.60%E -3.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -6.53%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.24%E -3.57%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.24%E -3.57%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.89%E -4.03%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 04:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.89%E -4.03%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.53%E -4.51%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.53%E -4.51%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 03:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.53%E -4.51%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.53%E -4.51%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.53%E -4.51%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.18%E -4.98%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.18%E -4.98%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.18%E -4.98%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 03:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.18%E -4.98%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 00:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.71%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.29%EV -10.79%E -4.30%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.82%E -5.47%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 00:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.11%E -6.46%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -9.11%E -6.46%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-01 04:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 03:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.48% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.52% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.54% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 36.46% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 61.49% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 38.51% | 21.4% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |