Langue:Français
Matteo Berrettini v Mariano Navone
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Prévision 59.04%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.837%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%59.18%58.67%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.631.6766.67%61.79%61.35%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Mariano Navone (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.96%2.44cote équitable
EV +3.21%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +2.11%
Croissance +0.068%
avec la cote maximale 2.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%40.82%41.33%43.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.302.282.5246.51%43.51%43.86%39.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Matteo Berrettini (Local) : 59.04% ; Mariano Navone (Visiteur) : 40.96%. Pour Mariano Navone (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.44. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.52, soit une espérance positive de +3.21%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +3.21%E +1.27%K +2.11%G +0.068% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 19:16 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.44%E -7.62%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.39%E +0.957%K +1.59%G +0.038% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 13:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.345%E +0.141%K +0.238%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.29%E -0.537%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.710%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.710%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 21:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.03%E -3.10%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 21:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.26%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.26%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.67%E -3.89%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.40%E -0.837%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.94%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.94%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 22:10 |