預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Mariano Navone v Novak Djokovic

開賽時間: 2026-08-30 23:00 UTC

最終賽果: Mariano Navone 3–2 Novak Djokovic

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Mariano Navone (主隊)

預測 17.08%5.85公平賠率
EV +3.35%
優勢 +0.553%
Kelly +0.663%
成長率 +0.022%

假設最高賠率為 6.05

博彩公司預測分布
15.73%17.26%17.17%19.60%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.805.525.506.0520.83%18.11%18.18%16.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Novak Djokovic (客隊)

預測 82.92%1.21公平賠率
EV -1.33%
優勢 -1.12%
Kelly -6.99%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.19

博彩公司預測分布
80.40%82.74%82.83%84.27%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.121.151.141.1989.29%87.22%87.72%84.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Mariano Navone (主隊):17.08%;Novak Djokovic (客隊):82.92%。 對於「Mariano Navone (主隊)」,該估計相當於5.85的公平十進位賠率。 當時有8家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.05,對應+3.35%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
SportsBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.35%E +0.553%K +0.663%G +0.022%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV +3.18%E +0.526%K +0.630%G +0.020%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV +3.18%E +0.526%K +0.630%G +0.020%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 22:05
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 21:00
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 20:55
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.785%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 20:29
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.785%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.924%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 22:04
Pinnacle🎯5.77I 17.33%NM 16.74%EV -1.44%E -0.249%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.26%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 22:50
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.78%E -0.309%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:50
Coolbet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 22:10
ReBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:35
NetBet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 22:59
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:25
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:25
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:25
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:30
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:30
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:25
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -5.19%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 22:45
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 22:54
MyBookie.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 22:04
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 22:00
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 22:05
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:00
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:25
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:30
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 22:00
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 22:00
NordicBet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 22:05
Betsson🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 22:05
Fliff🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.83%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:00
Neds🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 22:25
DraftKings🎯5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -8.10%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:55
GTbets🎯5.31I 18.83%NM 18.31%EV -9.29%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.69%EV -1.33%E -1.12%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 22:05
LeoVegas🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 22:10
BetAnything🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:30
1xBet🎯5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -11.34%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 22:50
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:00
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:45
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:50
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 22:25
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 12:17
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
ProphetX◎5.85I 17.09%NM 17.02%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.98%0.4%2026-08-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-08-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-08-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-08-30 22:55
Matchbook◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-08-30 22:50
Novig◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-08-30 22:50
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-08-30 22:20
Smarkets◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-08-30 22:50