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Mariano Navone v Novak Djokovic
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Mariano Navone (Хозяева)
Прогноз 17.08%5.85справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.35%
Преимущество +0.553%
Kelly +0.663%
Рост +0.022%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.73%17.26%17.17%19.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.525.506.0520.83%18.11%18.18%16.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Novak Djokovic (Гости)
Прогноз 82.92%1.21справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.33%
Преимущество -1.12%
Kelly -6.99%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.19
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
80.40%82.74%82.83%84.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.121.151.141.1989.29%87.22%87.72%84.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Mariano Navone (Хозяева): 17.08%; Novak Djokovic (Гости): 82.92%. Для исхода «Mariano Navone (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.85. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.05, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.35%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.35%E +0.553%K +0.663%G +0.022% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV +3.18%E +0.526%K +0.630%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV +3.18%E +0.526%K +0.630%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.785%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 20:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.785%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.924%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.74%EV -1.44%E -0.249%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.26%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.78%E -0.309%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -5.19%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 22:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.83%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -8.10%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.31%EV -9.29%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.69%EV -1.33%E -1.12%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -11.34%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 12:17 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.85I 17.09%NM 17.02% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.98% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |