Idioma:Português
Mariano Navone v Novak Djokovic
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Mariano Navone (Local)
Previsão 17.08%5.85odd justa
EV +3.35%
Vantagem +0.553%
Kelly +0.663%
Crescimento +0.022%
pressupondo odds máximas de 6.05
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.73%17.26%17.17%19.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.525.506.0520.83%18.11%18.18%16.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Novak Djokovic (Visitante)
Previsão 82.92%1.21odd justa
EV -1.33%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -6.99%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.19
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.40%82.74%82.83%84.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.151.141.1989.29%87.22%87.72%84.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mariano Navone (Local): 17.08%; Novak Djokovic (Visitante): 82.92%. Para Mariano Navone (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.85. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.35%.
Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.35%E +0.553%K +0.663%G +0.022% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV +3.18%E +0.526%K +0.630%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV +3.18%E +0.526%K +0.630%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.785%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 20:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.785%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.924%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.74%EV -1.44%E -0.249%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.26%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.78%E -0.309%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -5.19%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 22:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.83%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -8.10%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.31%EV -9.29%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.69%EV -1.33%E -1.12%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -11.34%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 12:17 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (8)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.85I 17.09%NM 17.02% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.98% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |