Idioma:Español
Mariano Navone v Novak Djokovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mariano Navone (Local)
Predicción 17.08%5.85momio equitativo
EV +3.35%
Ventaja +0.553%
Kelly +0.663%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.73%17.26%17.17%19.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.525.506.0520.83%18.11%18.18%16.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Novak Djokovic (Visitante)
Predicción 82.92%1.21momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -6.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.40%82.74%82.83%84.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.151.141.1989.29%87.22%87.72%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mariano Navone (Local): 17.08%; Novak Djokovic (Visitante): 82.92%. Para Mariano Navone (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.85. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.35%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.35%E +0.553%K +0.663%G +0.022% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV +3.18%E +0.526%K +0.630%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV +3.18%E +0.526%K +0.630%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.785%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 20:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.785%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.924%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.74%EV -1.44%E -0.249%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.26%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.78%E -0.309%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -5.19%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 22:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.83%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -8.10%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.31%EV -9.29%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.69%EV -1.33%E -1.12%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -11.34%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 12:17 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.85I 17.09%NM 17.02% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.98% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |