Język:Polski
Mariano Navone v Novak Djokovic
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Mariano Navone (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 17.08%5.85kurs godziwy
EV +3.35%
Przewaga +0.553%
Kelly +0.663%
Wzrost +0.022%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.05
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.73%17.26%17.17%19.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.805.525.506.0520.83%18.11%18.18%16.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Novak Djokovic (Goście)
Prognoza 82.92%1.21kurs godziwy
EV -1.33%
Przewaga -1.12%
Kelly -6.99%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.19
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
80.40%82.74%82.83%84.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.151.141.1989.29%87.22%87.72%84.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Mariano Navone (Gospodarze): 17.08%; Novak Djokovic (Goście): 82.92%. Dla wyniku Mariano Navone (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.85. 8 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.05, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.35%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.35%E +0.553%K +0.663%G +0.022% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV +3.18%E +0.526%K +0.630%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV +3.18%E +0.526%K +0.630%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.49%E +0.415%K +0.499%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.785%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 20:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.785%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.924%E -0.159%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.74%EV -1.44%E -0.249%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.26%EV -3.82%E -3.29%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.78%E -0.309%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.63%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.34%E -0.775%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -5.19%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 22:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.05%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.90%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.83%EV -6.30%E -5.58%K -48.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.76%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.13%E -6.37%K -59.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.61%EV -8.10%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.39%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.31%EV -9.29%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.69%EV -1.33%E -1.12%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.46%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.47%E -4.80%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.32%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -11.34%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.64%E -4.04%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.99%E -2.55%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 12:17 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.85I 17.09%NM 17.02% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.98% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |