Language:English
Lloyd Harris v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lloyd Harris (Local)
Prediction 32.24%3.10fair odd
EV -0.043%
Edge -0.014%
Kelly -0.020%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.65%32.35%32.26%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.912.903.1036.36%34.32%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit)
Prediction 67.76%1.48fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -5.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.65%67.74%69.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.20%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lloyd Harris (Local): 32.24%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit): 67.76%. For Lloyd Harris (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.101. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.100, with an expected value of -0.043%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.043%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.043%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -0.688%E -0.223%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.65%E -0.543%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 16:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.98%E -0.650%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 06:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 06:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 19:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 15:46 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 20:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 08:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 21:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 21:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 08:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 13:43 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 08:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 21:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |