Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Lloyd Harris v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

29%

71%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Lloyd Harris (Local)

Predicción 28.52%3.51momio equitativo

EV +2.67%

Ventaja +0.743%

Kelly +1.03%

Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

26.38%28.76%28.42%33.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.853.273.303.6035.09%30.55%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Predicción 71.48%1.40momio equitativo

EV +1.50%

Ventaja +1.06%

Kelly +3.57%

Crecimiento +0.054%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

66.74%71.24%71.58%73.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.251.331.321.4280.00%75.34%75.76%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lloyd Harris (Local): 28.52%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 71.48%. Para Lloyd Harris (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.51. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.67%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.72%E -6.57%K -10.12%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.50%E +1.06%K +3.57%G +0.054%	5.5%	2026-09-01 03:50
Neds🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.72%E -6.57%K -10.12%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.50%E +1.06%K +3.57%G +0.054%	5.5%	2026-09-01 03:50
BetMGM🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -17.29%E -5.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +0.071%E +0.051%K +0.178%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-01 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.15%E -6.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.071%E +0.051%K +0.178%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-01 03:49
Coral🎯	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.15%E -6.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.071%E +0.051%K +0.178%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-01 03:49
FanDuel🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.36%E -0.984%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-01 00:20
betano_uk🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.79%E -2.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-01 04:00
Sky Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.79%E -2.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-01 00:20
1xBet🎯	3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -3.50%E -2.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-01 04:05
Coolbet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.178%E -0.051%K -0.071%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.22%E -3.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-01 05:10
DraftKings🎯	3.21I 31.15%NM 29.45%EV -8.45%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.55%EV -4.22%E -3.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-01 03:58
Bovada🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-01 03:55
888sport🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-31 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-31 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-31 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯	3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -6.45%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-01 03:50
betfred_uk🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 03:55
PlayUp🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 00:25
Fliff🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-01 04:05
SportsBet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-01 00:20
BetRivers🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
TABtouch🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
Grosvenor🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
Casumo🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
Unibet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
Bally Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
betPARX🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-01 03:55
TAB🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-01 00:24
GTbets🎯	3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -1.32%E -0.381%K -0.536%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-31 20:45
Fanatics🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-01 03:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -4.74%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-01 04:00
theScore Bet🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-01 03:55
BoyleSports🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.67%E +0.743%K +1.03%G +0.027%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-01 04:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-01 03:55
LeoVegas🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-08-31 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.67%E +0.743%K +1.03%G +0.027%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.79%E -6.04%K -26.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-01 03:55
PMU (FR)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.79%E -6.04%K -26.87%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-31 20:00
ReBet🎯	3.12I 32.05%NM 29.25%EV -11.02%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -7.79%E -6.04%K -26.87%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-09-01 03:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -8.51%E -6.65%K -30.38%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-09-01 03:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -8.51%E -6.65%K -30.38%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-09-01 03:55
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -10.65%E -8.52%K -42.60%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-09-01 03:55

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Kalshi◎	3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%	1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%	0.9%	2026-09-01 05:10
Novig◎	3.39I 29.50%NM 29.08%	1.39I 71.94%NM 70.92%	1.4%	2026-09-01 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%	5.4%	2026-09-01 04:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%	5.4%	2026-09-01 04:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%	5.4%	2026-09-01 04:30
Matchbook◎	2.96I 33.78%NM 31.64%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.36%	6.8%	2026-09-01 04:30
ProphetX◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 31.90%	1.34I 74.63%NM 68.10%	9.6%	2026-09-01 05:05
Smarkets◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 30.24%	1.24I 80.65%NM 69.76%	15.6%	2026-09-01 04:30

Arbitraje (48 combinaciones) +1.83%Winamax (DE) 3.60 (28.3%) / Ladbrokes (AU) 1.42 (71.7%)Ver las 48 combinaciones

Lloyd Harris (Local)	Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)	Margen
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.3%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (71.7%)	+1.83%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.3%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (71.7%)	+1.83%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.3%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (71.7%)	+1.83%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.3%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (71.7%)	+1.83%
Coolbet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (71.1%)	+1.02%
Coolbet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (71.1%)	+1.02%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.0%)	BetMGM🎯 1.40 (72.0%)	+0.800%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.0%)	Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.40 (72.0%)	+0.800%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.0%)	Coral🎯 1.40 (72.0%)	+0.800%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.0%)	BetMGM🎯 1.40 (72.0%)	+0.800%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.0%)	Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.40 (72.0%)	+0.800%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.0%)	Coral🎯 1.40 (72.0%)	+0.800%
GTbets🎯 3.46 (29.1%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.9%)	+0.680%
GTbets🎯 3.46 (29.1%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.9%)	+0.680%
Bovada🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Bovada🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
BetRivers🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
BetRivers🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Virgin Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Virgin Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Unibet (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Unibet (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
LiveScore Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
LiveScore Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
TABtouch🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
TABtouch🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Grosvenor🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Grosvenor🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Casumo🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Casumo🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Unibet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Unibet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Bally Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Bally Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
betPARX🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
betPARX🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	+0.166%