Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lloyd Harris v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 21:19 UTC

Score final : Lloyd Harris 1–3 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lloyd Harris (Local)

Prévision 32.24%3.10cote équitable
EV -0.043%
Avantage -0.014%
Kelly -0.020%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.65%32.35%32.26%34.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.912.903.1036.36%34.32%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.76%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -5.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.63%67.65%67.74%69.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.20%71.43%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lloyd Harris (Local) : 32.24% ; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur) : 67.76%. Pour Lloyd Harris (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.101. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.100, pour une espérance de -0.043% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.043%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 15:45
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.043%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:45
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -0.688%E -0.223%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 16:20
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.65%E -0.543%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 16:06
BetUS🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.98%E -0.650%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 06:40
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 06:25
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:10
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:44
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 19:16
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 15:46
MyBookie.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 21:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 21:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 21:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 20:35
GTbets🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 08:18
Betsson🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 21:10
NordicBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 21:11
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 21:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 13:15
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 20:25
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 21:10
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 13:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 08:54
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 13:50
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:09
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 13:43
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 08:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 08:55
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 21:10
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 21:10
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 08:20
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 09:05
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:15
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-09-02 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-02 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-02 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-02 21:15
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-09-02 21:05
ProphetX◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-09-02 21:15
Novig◎3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64%1.9%2026-09-02 21:15
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-09-02 21:15