Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lloyd Harris v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lloyd Harris (Local)

Prévision 28.52%3.51cote équitable
EV +2.67%
Avantage +0.743%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.38%28.76%28.42%33.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.273.303.6035.09%30.55%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.48%1.40cote équitable
EV +1.50%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +3.57%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.74%71.24%71.58%73.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.331.321.4280.00%75.34%75.76%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lloyd Harris (Local) : 28.52% ; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur) : 71.48%. Pour Lloyd Harris (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.51. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.60, pour une espérance positive de +2.67%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.72%E -6.57%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.50%E +1.06%K +3.57%G +0.054%5.5%2026-09-01 03:50
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.72%E -6.57%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.50%E +1.06%K +3.57%G +0.054%5.5%2026-09-01 03:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -17.29%E -5.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +0.071%E +0.051%K +0.178%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.15%E -6.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.071%E +0.051%K +0.178%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 03:49
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.15%E -6.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.071%E +0.051%K +0.178%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 03:49
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.36%E -0.984%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:20
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.79%E -2.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:00
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.79%E -2.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 00:20
1xBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -3.50%E -2.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 04:05
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.178%E -0.051%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.22%E -3.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 05:10
DraftKings🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.45%EV -8.45%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.55%EV -4.22%E -3.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 03:58
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 03:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -6.45%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 03:50
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 03:55
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:25
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 04:05
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 00:20
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 03:55
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:24
GTbets🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -1.32%E -0.381%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:45
Fanatics🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 03:55
MyBookie.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -4.74%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 04:00
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 03:55
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.67%E +0.743%K +1.03%G +0.027%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 04:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 03:55
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.67%E +0.743%K +1.03%G +0.027%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.79%E -6.04%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 03:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.79%E -6.04%K -26.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 20:00
ReBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.25%EV -11.02%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -7.79%E -6.04%K -26.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 03:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -8.51%E -6.65%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 03:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -8.51%E -6.65%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 03:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -10.65%E -8.52%K -42.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 03:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-09-01 05:10
Novig3.39I 29.50%NM 29.08%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.92%1.4%2026-09-01 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%5.4%2026-09-01 04:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%5.4%2026-09-01 04:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%5.4%2026-09-01 04:30
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 31.64%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.36%6.8%2026-09-01 04:30
ProphetX2.86I 34.97%NM 31.90%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.10%9.6%2026-09-01 05:05
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 30.24%1.24I 80.65%NM 69.76%15.6%2026-09-01 04:30
Arbitrage (48 combinaisons) +1.83%Winamax (DE) 3.60 (28.3%) / Ladbrokes (AU) 1.42 (71.7%)Afficher les 48 combinaisons
Lloyd Harris (Local)Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)Marge
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.3%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (71.7%)+1.83%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.3%)Neds🎯 1.42 (71.7%)+1.83%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.3%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (71.7%)+1.83%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.3%)Neds🎯 1.42 (71.7%)+1.83%
Coolbet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (71.1%)+1.02%
Coolbet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)Neds🎯 1.42 (71.1%)+1.02%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.0%)BetMGM🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.0%)Coral🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.0%)BetMGM🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.0%)Coral🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
GTbets🎯 3.46 (29.1%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.9%)+0.680%
GTbets🎯 3.46 (29.1%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.9%)+0.680%
Bovada🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Bovada🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
BetRivers🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
BetRivers🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Virgin Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Virgin Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
LiveScore Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
LiveScore Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
TABtouch🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
TABtouch🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Grosvenor🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Grosvenor🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Casumo🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Casumo🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Bally Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Bally Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
betPARX🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
betPARX🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%