Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lloyd Harris v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Início: 2026-09-02 21:19 UTC

Final: Lloyd Harris 1–3 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lloyd Harris (Local)

Previsão 32.24%3.10odd justa
EV -0.043%
Vantagem -0.014%
Kelly -0.020%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.65%32.35%32.26%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.912.903.1036.36%34.32%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Previsão 67.76%1.48odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -1.69%
Kelly -5.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%67.65%67.74%69.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.20%71.43%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Lloyd Harris (Local): 32.24%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 67.76%. Para Lloyd Harris (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.101. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.100, com valor esperado de -0.043%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.043%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 15:45
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.043%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:45
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -0.688%E -0.223%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 16:20
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.65%E -0.543%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 16:06
BetUS🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.98%E -0.650%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 06:40
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 06:25
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:10
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:44
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 19:16
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 15:46
MyBookie.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 21:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 21:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 21:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 20:35
GTbets🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 08:18
Betsson🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 21:10
NordicBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 21:11
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 21:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 13:15
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 20:25
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 21:10
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 13:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 08:54
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 13:50
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:09
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 13:43
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 08:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 08:55
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 21:10
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 21:10
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 08:20
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 09:05
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:15
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 21:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-09-02 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-02 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-02 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-02 21:15
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-09-02 21:05
ProphetX◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-09-02 21:15
Novig◎3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64%1.9%2026-09-02 21:15
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-09-02 21:15