Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Lloyd Harris v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Lloyd Harris (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 28.52%3.51kurs godziwy
EV +2.67%
Przewaga +0.743%
Kelly +1.03%
Wzrost +0.027%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.38%28.76%28.42%33.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.273.303.6035.09%30.55%30.30%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Goście)

Prognoza 71.48%1.40kurs godziwy
EV +1.50%
Przewaga +1.06%
Kelly +3.57%
Wzrost +0.054%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.74%71.24%71.58%73.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.331.321.4280.00%75.34%75.76%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Lloyd Harris (Gospodarze): 28.52%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Goście): 71.48%. Dla wyniku Lloyd Harris (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.51. 2 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 3.60, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +2.67%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.72%E -6.57%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.50%E +1.06%K +3.57%G +0.054%5.5%2026-09-01 03:50
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.72%E -6.57%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.50%E +1.06%K +3.57%G +0.054%5.5%2026-09-01 03:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -17.29%E -5.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +0.071%E +0.051%K +0.178%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.15%E -6.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.071%E +0.051%K +0.178%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 03:49
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.15%E -6.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.071%E +0.051%K +0.178%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 03:49
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.36%E -0.984%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:20
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.79%E -2.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:00
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.79%E -2.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 00:20
1xBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -3.50%E -2.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 04:05
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.178%E -0.051%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.22%E -3.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 05:10
DraftKings🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.45%EV -8.45%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.55%EV -4.22%E -3.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 03:58
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 03:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -6.45%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 03:50
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 03:55
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:25
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 04:05
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.93%E -3.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 00:20
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 03:55
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.65%E -4.28%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 00:24
GTbets🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -1.32%E -0.381%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:45
Fanatics🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 03:55
MyBookie.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -4.74%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 04:00
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.36%E -4.86%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 03:55
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.67%E +0.743%K +1.03%G +0.027%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 04:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 03:55
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.08%E -5.44%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.67%E +0.743%K +1.03%G +0.027%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.79%E -6.04%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 03:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.79%E -6.04%K -26.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 20:00
ReBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.25%EV -11.02%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -7.79%E -6.04%K -26.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 03:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -8.51%E -6.65%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 03:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -8.51%E -6.65%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 03:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -10.65%E -8.52%K -42.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 03:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-09-01 05:10
Novig3.39I 29.50%NM 29.08%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.92%1.4%2026-09-01 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%5.4%2026-09-01 04:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%5.4%2026-09-01 04:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%5.4%2026-09-01 04:30
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 31.64%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.36%6.8%2026-09-01 04:30
ProphetX2.86I 34.97%NM 31.90%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.10%9.6%2026-09-01 05:05
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 30.24%1.24I 80.65%NM 69.76%15.6%2026-09-01 04:30
Arbitraż (48 kombinacji) +1.83%Winamax (DE) 3.60 (28.3%) / Ladbrokes (AU) 1.42 (71.7%)Pokaż wszystkie kombinacje (48)
Lloyd Harris (Gospodarze)Stefanos Tsitsipas (Goście)Marża
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.3%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (71.7%)+1.83%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.3%)Neds🎯 1.42 (71.7%)+1.83%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.3%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (71.7%)+1.83%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.3%)Neds🎯 1.42 (71.7%)+1.83%
Coolbet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (71.1%)+1.02%
Coolbet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)Neds🎯 1.42 (71.1%)+1.02%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.0%)BetMGM🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
BoyleSports🎯 3.60 (28.0%)Coral🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.0%)BetMGM🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
Winamax (DE)🎯 3.60 (28.0%)Coral🎯 1.40 (72.0%)+0.800%
GTbets🎯 3.46 (29.1%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.9%)+0.680%
GTbets🎯 3.46 (29.1%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.9%)+0.680%
Bovada🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Bovada🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
BetRivers🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
BetRivers🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Virgin Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Virgin Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
LiveScore Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
LiveScore Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
TABtouch🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
TABtouch🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Grosvenor🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Grosvenor🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Casumo🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Casumo🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Unibet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Bally Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Bally Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
betPARX🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
betPARX🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)+0.166%