Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 62.36%1.60fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%62.35%62.34%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.43%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit)
Prediction 37.64%2.66fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.71%37.65%37.66%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.512.502.6041.67%39.92%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 62.36%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit): 37.64%. For Jiri Lehecka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.57, with an expected value of -2.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.10%E -1.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.13%E -0.818%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.13%E -0.818%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.39%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -2.50%E -0.967%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.76%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 21:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.66%E -4.02%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.66%E -4.02%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.39%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -5.52%E -2.20%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -5.52%E -2.20%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 17:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 15:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.66%E -4.02%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -8.34%E -5.67%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -5.14%E -2.04%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.58%E -6.61%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |