默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jiri Lehecka v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jiri Lehecka (主队)

预测 66.11%1.51公平赔率
EV -0.831%
优势 -0.554%
Kelly -1.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
62.96%66.15%66.04%68.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.371.421.411.5072.99%70.56%70.92%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Stefanos Tsitsipas (客队)

预测 33.89%2.95公平赔率
EV +1.66%
优势 +0.554%
Kelly +0.831%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.71%33.85%33.96%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.812.843.0039.22%35.60%35.21%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Jiri Lehecka (主队):66.11%;Stefanos Tsitsipas (客队):33.89%。 对于“Stefanos Tsitsipas (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.95。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.00,由此产生+1.66%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.44%E -5.32%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.66%E +0.554%K +0.831%G +0.014%4.8%2026-09-03 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -9.43%E -6.88%K -25.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.032%E -0.011%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 05:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 04:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 04:30
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.40%E -0.835%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 07:50
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 07:59
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 05:27
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 04:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 07:43
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -7.44%E -5.32%K -18.61%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 05:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 06:20
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 05:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -9.43%E -6.88%K -25.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 06:10
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 05:26
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 06:20
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 06:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.79%E -2.08%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 06:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 05:25
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 06:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 06:10
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:20
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:20
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 06:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.14%E -2.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 06:55
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 07:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.10%E -5.83%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.10%E -5.83%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 06:20
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.42%EV -8.10%E -5.83%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -10.88%E -4.14%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 06:20
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.48%E -2.38%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 07:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.831%E -0.554%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 06:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:50
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:55
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%4.1%2026-09-03 07:50
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%4.6%2026-09-03 07:50
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%7.0%2026-09-03 07:35
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 64.81%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.19%11.0%2026-09-03 08:00