La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Jiri Lehecka v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Predicción 66.11%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.831%
Ventaja -0.554%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.96%66.15%66.04%68.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.371.421.411.5072.99%70.56%70.92%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Predicción 33.89%2.95momio equitativo
EV +1.66%
Ventaja +0.554%
Kelly +0.831%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.71%33.85%33.96%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.812.843.0039.22%35.60%35.21%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 66.11%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 33.89%. Para Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.95. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.66%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.44%E -5.32%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.66%E +0.554%K +0.831%G +0.014%4.8%2026-09-03 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -9.43%E -6.88%K -25.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.032%E -0.011%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 05:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 04:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 04:30
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.40%E -0.835%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 07:50
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 07:59
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 05:27
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 04:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 07:43
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -7.44%E -5.32%K -18.61%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 05:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 06:20
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 05:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -9.43%E -6.88%K -25.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 06:10
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 05:26
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 06:20
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 06:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.79%E -2.08%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 06:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 05:25
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 06:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 06:10
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:20
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:20
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 06:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.14%E -2.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 06:55
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 07:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.10%E -5.83%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.10%E -5.83%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 06:20
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.42%EV -8.10%E -5.83%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -10.88%E -4.14%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 06:20
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.48%E -2.38%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 07:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.831%E -0.554%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 06:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:50
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:55
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%4.1%2026-09-03 07:50
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%4.6%2026-09-03 07:50
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%7.0%2026-09-03 07:35
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 64.81%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.19%11.0%2026-09-03 08:00