Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Início: 2026-09-04 21:00 UTC

Final: Jiri Lehecka 1–3 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Previsão 62.36%1.60odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -3.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.07%62.35%62.34%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.43%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Previsão 37.64%2.66odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -0.818%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.71%37.65%37.66%38.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.512.502.6041.67%39.92%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 62.36%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 37.64%. Para Jiri Lehecka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.60. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.57, com valor esperado de -2.10%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.10%E -1.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 14:31
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.13%E -0.818%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 06:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 15:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.13%E -0.818%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 12:40
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 12:40
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.39%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 06:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:20
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -2.50%E -0.967%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.88%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:09
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.76%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 15:40
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:10
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 06:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 15:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.66%E -4.02%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.66%E -4.02%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:00
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:00
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.39%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:00
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -5.52%E -2.20%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -5.52%E -2.20%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 06:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:35
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:34
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 17:41
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 12:35
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:20
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 15:51
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.66%E -4.02%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 07:20
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -8.34%E -5.67%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -5.14%E -2.04%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.58%E -6.61%K -21.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-09-04 01:00
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-09-04 14:20