Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka v Stefanos Tsitsipas

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prévision 66.11%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.831%
Avantage -0.554%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%66.15%66.04%68.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.371.421.411.5072.99%70.56%70.92%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.89%2.95cote équitable
EV +1.66%
Avantage +0.554%
Kelly +0.831%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.71%33.85%33.96%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.812.843.0039.22%35.60%35.21%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 66.11% ; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur) : 33.89%. Pour Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.95. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.00, pour une espérance positive de +1.66%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.44%E -5.32%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.66%E +0.554%K +0.831%G +0.014%4.8%2026-09-03 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -9.43%E -6.88%K -25.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.032%E -0.011%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 05:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 04:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 04:15
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -1.73%E -0.595%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 04:30
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.40%E -0.835%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 07:50
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 07:59
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 05:27
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 04:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 07:43
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -7.44%E -5.32%K -18.61%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 05:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 06:20
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 05:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -9.43%E -6.88%K -25.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 06:10
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 05:26
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 06:20
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 06:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.46%E -3.82%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.79%E -2.08%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 06:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 05:25
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 06:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 06:10
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.80%E -3.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:20
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:20
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 06:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.14%E -2.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 06:55
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 07:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.10%E -5.83%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.10%E -5.83%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 06:20
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.42%EV -8.10%E -5.83%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -10.88%E -4.14%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 06:20
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.48%E -2.38%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 07:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.831%E -0.554%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -8.76%E -6.35%K -23.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 06:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:50
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-03 07:55
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%4.1%2026-09-03 07:50
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%4.6%2026-09-03 07:50
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%7.0%2026-09-03 07:35
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 64.81%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.19%11.0%2026-09-03 08:00