預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Jiri Lehecka v Pablo Carreno Busta

開賽時間: 2026-08-30 15:04 UTC

最終賽果: Jiri Lehecka 3–1 Pablo Carreno Busta

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Jiri Lehecka (主隊)

預測 78.51%1.27公平賠率
EV -3.43%
優勢 -2.79%
Kelly -14.93%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.23

博彩公司預測分布
76.63%78.50%78.57%80.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.171.211.211.2385.47%82.62%82.30%81.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Pablo Carreno Busta (客隊)

預測 21.49%4.65公平賠率
EV +5.30%
優勢 +1.08%
Kelly +1.36%
成長率 +0.072%

假設最高賠率為 4.90

博彩公司預測分布
19.41%21.50%21.43%23.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.004.394.354.9025.00%22.79%22.99%20.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Jiri Lehecka (主隊):78.51%;Pablo Carreno Busta (客隊):21.49%。 對於「Pablo Carreno Busta (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.65的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.90,對應+5.30%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.36%E -6.24%K -40.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +5.30%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.072%5.2%2026-08-30 13:44
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +4.23%E +0.872%K +1.10%G +0.046%4.7%2026-08-30 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.08%E +0.438%K +0.555%G +0.012%3.0%2026-08-30 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.36%E -6.24%K -40.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.43%E -2.79%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.00%E -0.439%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.22%E -0.487%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 13:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.22%E -0.487%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 13:20
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -2.43%E -0.536%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 12:35
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 13:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:10
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:55
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:40
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.14%E -6.96%K -47.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.77%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.23%EV -3.51%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:00
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:00
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 13:25
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:30
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:30
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:30
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:30
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:35
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 14:09
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 14:45
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:00
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 12:35
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:00
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 12:35
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:22
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 12:35
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:55
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:39
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:40
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 08:20
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -10.81%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 15:00
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.04%E -3.51%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 14:26
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-08-30 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66%5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34%0.8%2026-08-30 14:45
ProphetX◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Matchbook◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-08-30 13:55
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-08-30 15:00