默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jiri Lehecka v Pablo Carreno Busta

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jiri Lehecka (主队)

预测 75.92%1.32公平赔率
EV -1.30%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -4.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.30

博彩公司预测分布
72.34%75.69%75.87%77.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.191.251.261.3084.03%79.69%79.37%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)

预测 24.08%4.15公平赔率
EV +4.26%
优势 +0.983%
Kelly +1.28%
增长率 +0.054%

假设最高赔率为 4.33

博彩公司预测分布
22.68%24.31%24.13%27.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.843.854.3329.85%26.04%25.97%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Jiri Lehecka (主队):75.92%;Pablo Carreno Busta (客队):24.08%。 对于“Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.15。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.33,由此产生+4.26%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%EV -3.58%E -2.82%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%EV +4.26%E +0.983%K +1.28%G +0.054%1.8%2026-08-28 00:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.69%E -0.922%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.62%E -5.38%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.69%E -0.922%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.69%E -0.922%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.86%E -4.72%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.89%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 00:50
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.48%EV -2.82%E -2.20%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.52%EV -5.13%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-27 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.87%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.13%EV -5.37%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.10%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 00:15
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.58%E -2.82%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.71%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.86%E -4.72%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.71%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 00:21
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.06%E -1.60%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.32%E -3.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.06%E -1.60%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.32%E -3.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.30%E -1.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -18.14%E -5.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.79%EV -9.65%E -8.11%K -50.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -19.34%E -5.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-28 00:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%10.5%2026-08-28 00:50