语言:简体中文
Jiri Lehecka v Pablo Carreno Busta
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jiri Lehecka (主队)
预测 78.51%1.27公平赔率
EV -3.43%
优势 -2.79%
Kelly -14.93%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.23
博彩公司预测分布
76.63%78.50%78.57%80.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.211.211.2385.47%82.62%82.30%81.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)
预测 21.49%4.65公平赔率
EV +5.30%
优势 +1.08%
Kelly +1.36%
增长率 +0.072%
假设最高赔率为 4.90
博彩公司预测分布
19.41%21.50%21.43%23.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.394.354.9025.00%22.79%22.99%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jiri Lehecka (主队)：78.51%；Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)：21.49%。 对于“Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.65。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.90，对应+5.30%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.36%E -6.24%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +5.30%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.072% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +4.23%E +0.872%K +1.10%G +0.046% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.08%E +0.438%K +0.555%G +0.012% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.36%E -6.24%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.43%E -2.79%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.00%E -0.439%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.22%E -0.487%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 13:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.22%E -0.487%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -2.43%E -0.536%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.14%E -6.96%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.77%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.23%EV -3.51%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:22 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 08:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -10.81%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.04%E -3.51%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |