Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jiri Lehecka v Pablo Carreno Busta

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jiri Lehecka (Casa)

Previsione 75.92%1.32quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -4.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.34%75.69%75.87%77.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.191.251.261.3084.03%79.69%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.08%4.15quota equa
EV +4.26%
Vantaggio +0.983%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.054%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.68%24.31%24.13%27.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.843.854.3329.85%26.04%25.97%23.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Jiri Lehecka (Casa): 75.92%; Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta): 24.08%. Per Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.15. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.33, con un valore atteso positivo del +4.26%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%EV -3.58%E -2.82%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%EV +4.26%E +0.983%K +1.28%G +0.054%1.8%2026-08-28 00:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.69%E -0.922%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.62%E -5.38%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.69%E -0.922%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.69%E -0.922%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.86%E -4.72%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.89%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 00:50
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.48%EV -2.82%E -2.20%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.52%EV -5.13%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-27 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.87%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.13%EV -5.37%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.10%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 00:15
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.58%E -2.82%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.71%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.86%E -4.72%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.71%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 00:21
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.06%E -1.60%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.32%E -3.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.06%E -1.60%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.32%E -3.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.30%E -1.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -18.14%E -5.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.79%EV -9.65%E -8.11%K -50.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -19.34%E -5.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-28 00:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%10.5%2026-08-28 00:50