Langue:Français
Jiri Lehecka v Pablo Carreno Busta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prévision 78.51%1.27cote équitable
EV -3.43%
Avantage -2.79%
Kelly -14.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%78.50%78.57%80.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.211.2385.47%82.62%82.30%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pablo Carreno Busta (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.49%4.65cote équitable
EV +5.30%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.072%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.41%21.50%21.43%23.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.394.354.9025.00%22.79%22.99%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 78.51% ; Pablo Carreno Busta (Visiteur) : 21.49%. Pour Pablo Carreno Busta (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.65. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.90, soit une espérance positive de +5.30%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.36%E -6.24%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +5.30%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.072% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +4.23%E +0.872%K +1.10%G +0.046% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.08%E +0.438%K +0.555%G +0.012% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.36%E -6.24%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.43%E -2.79%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.00%E -0.439%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.22%E -0.487%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 13:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.22%E -0.487%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -2.43%E -0.536%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.14%E -6.96%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.77%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.23%EV -3.51%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:22 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 08:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -10.81%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.04%E -3.51%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |