Sprache:Deutsch
Jiri Lehecka v Pablo Carreno Busta
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Jiri Lehecka (Heim)
Prognose 78.51%1.27faire Quote
EV -3.43%
Vorteil -2.79%
Kelly -14.93%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.23
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
76.63%78.50%78.57%80.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.171.211.211.2385.47%82.62%82.30%81.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Pablo Carreno Busta (Auswärts)
Prognose 21.49%4.65faire Quote
EV +5.30%
Vorteil +1.08%
Kelly +1.36%
Wachstum +0.072%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.90
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.41%21.50%21.43%23.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.394.354.9025.00%22.79%22.99%20.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jiri Lehecka (Heim): 78.51%; Pablo Carreno Busta (Auswärts): 21.49%. Für Pablo Carreno Busta (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.65. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.90 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.30%.
Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.36%E -6.24%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +5.30%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.072% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +4.23%E +0.872%K +1.10%G +0.046% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.08%E +0.438%K +0.555%G +0.012% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.36%E -6.24%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.14%E -0.249%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.43%E -2.79%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.00%E -0.439%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.22%E -0.487%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 13:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.22%E -0.487%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -2.43%E -0.536%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.14%E -6.96%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.29%E -0.732%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.77%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.23%EV -3.51%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.52%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:22 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.00%E -4.14%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 08:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.79%E -4.82%K -28.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -10.81%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.04%E -3.51%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |